joppo: Scum will end up killing someone toNight either way. We can't avoid that.
And they will kill someone else the next Night too, if the game isn't lost by then. So whichever of these two Days we choose to NL won't impact how many townies we lose or who they are going to be.
GymHenson: But you seem to forget:
We are at MYLO If we mislynch today(d4)
the game is over.....meaning the
only viable time for a NL of the next two "days"(d4 and d5) is today(d4).
I didn't forget; in fact I said that in #708.
Let me make it clearer. First of all, let's just not bother with the scenarios where the first person we choose to lynch, be it on D4 or D5, happens to be town. In any of those situations the game will be lost no matter what.
So concentrating on the remaining possibilities, we might
a) NoLynch toDay, enter D5 in a 3x2 situation, and lynch a mafioso toMorrow; or
b) Lynch a mafioso toDay and enter D5 with 3x1
But trying to lynch someone when you're 3 versus 1 is a problem. All three townies have to agree on who is the mafioso or there won't be a majority and thus no lynch. (The mafioso won't self-lynch in a game they are close to winning.)
In that situation it is recommended to go for a NL because it's easier for one townie out of three to get it wrong than one out of two. Also, if I happen to suspect e.g. Joe and were to vote Joe but we decide to NL and Joe is the NK, the smaller cast of players ends up giving me a higher chance to actually find the scum Zeogold. So we have 2 good reasons to force the number of players back to an odd number.
So here we are with two possibilities: lynch someone toDay and hope to have a chance to NL toMorrow or NL toDay and hope that our pick toMorrow is scum. No two ways about it.
joppo: Scum will end up killing someone toNight either way. We can't avoid that.
And they will kill someone else the next Night too, if the game isn't lost by then. So whichever of these two Days we choose to NL won't impact how many townies we lose or who they are going to be.
Pookina: I'm not really thrilled for a third day with nolynch. The only pro is that scum will give us one flip (although nothing's stopping them from not just going for a kill and forcing our hands, just saying), but at the same time we'd happily give them an opportunity to
chat during the night and assess their new situation. Essentially think of it this way: D5 will be exactly like D4, except with one less Townie and a more informed and up-to-date scumteam. Not sure that's worth breaking any more "most nolynches in a single game" record.
See above. And, sorry to burst your bubble mate but... that number of NoLynches was "settled" to go up to three when the second NL happened and put our numbers back to an even number.
Scum might decide not to kill anyone the Night we NL indeed, but from what I read in MU and MafiaScum let's just say it is somewhat frowned upon, because prolonging the game unnecessarily is quite the dick move. Winning by boring every player out of the game? Who would want to play with them again? And if it happens they can't blame Town for it – Town didn't choose to prolong the number of Days. Only scum did.
You have a good point about the night chat, however.
Pookina: So I have the interesting idea of tracking any votes related to GymHenson. No offense intended, but I get tired quickly when reading his posts. I'm not sure why, but it's how it is, so I'm going to my second best idea. I have been fixated on GH the whole game but haven't done enough due diligence in figuring out who could be with him, and I believe the vote record is it. I'll try to do it tomorrow. Feel free to nag me if I end up sleeping for too long.
Well, you can save some time by checking all the D1 and D2 votes on my post #633
GymHenson: (also Joppo, plz note I made a reply to you in post 710)
Oh. Of course. Let me see.
Still think they're more likely town?
More than you? Sure.
Your self-vote didn't make it any less likely that you're scum. It only made it clear that there is at least one scum in this wagon. Otherwise scum would have piled their two votes by now.
So 3 possibilities arise:
1) scum!Pooka and scum!GH . I find this unlikely, but if we lynch one of you and get a scum flip I will give it some consideration just as I will consider a scenario with Catte and Trent as the 2nd scum.
2) scum!GH and town!Pooka and
3) scum!Pooka and town!GH
Out of the last two I find it hard to believe you're Town to Pooka's scum.