Posted December 14, 2019
low rated
Speculation ahead....
If the past is an indication of how YouTube will react...
... it will be so scared (I say this as to reactionary behavior... but actually think they are probably orchestrating the scenario) of breaking the law, fines, and losing revenue that it will "turn" on content creators -- using flimsy evidence and broad readings of the law. It won't hit everyone, but it will be enough to make an example and create a "chilling effect" in content creation. It will get so confusing and difficult to get full monetization -- and the fear of legal issues will be so ever-present -- that IMO YouTube will again try to make itself into a "safe" subscription service.
This COPPA situation didn't happen in a bubble. I believe Google was probably behind this.
YouTube will try to re-start a paid subscription service (like YouTube Red) where they "personally" vet all of the content created guaranteeing advertisers, creators, and the law that this content is fully vetted for standards (much like commercial television's Standards & Practices in the US). YouTube will become online commercial television with a subscription -- both viewers and creators.
The reason I think YouTube will go this direction is because I have never -- since the acquisition by Google -- seen the platform take the side of creators over advertisers... and I don't think they have they have the appetite to take on lawmakers either (who are closely tied to advertisers as well). They've wanted a subscription revenue stream -- while discarding "fringe creators" -- and this scenario accomplishes both.
Meanwhile...
... one of the largest unions in the world is trying to unionize content creators and get YouTube to at the very least make their rules and monetization policies clearer and more transparent (as in any independent contractor relationship) -- something else Google does not want to do. This may be working through the courts as we speak.
And then there's the lack of certifying drivers in businesses like Uber (which was done in traditional taxi services) that is getting the company tossed from more and more cities. Very close relationship to the YouTube fiasco.
YouTube has a tough road ahead.
My only question in this ubiquitous platform is... if YouTube falls apart, where do we go then?
richlind33: Youtube lied to the FTC about targetting children and that's going to cost them. Ultimately, I think COPPA will be modernized... Yes, agree.
This was probably orchestrated from Google and not from the FTC. IMO Google is using the FTC to "clean house."
If the FTC was acting independently I would agree that the law will be modernized, but since it is IMHO being used as a tool of Google, I don't see this happening anytime soon.
If the past is an indication of how YouTube will react...
... it will be so scared (I say this as to reactionary behavior... but actually think they are probably orchestrating the scenario) of breaking the law, fines, and losing revenue that it will "turn" on content creators -- using flimsy evidence and broad readings of the law. It won't hit everyone, but it will be enough to make an example and create a "chilling effect" in content creation. It will get so confusing and difficult to get full monetization -- and the fear of legal issues will be so ever-present -- that IMO YouTube will again try to make itself into a "safe" subscription service.
This COPPA situation didn't happen in a bubble. I believe Google was probably behind this.
YouTube will try to re-start a paid subscription service (like YouTube Red) where they "personally" vet all of the content created guaranteeing advertisers, creators, and the law that this content is fully vetted for standards (much like commercial television's Standards & Practices in the US). YouTube will become online commercial television with a subscription -- both viewers and creators.
The reason I think YouTube will go this direction is because I have never -- since the acquisition by Google -- seen the platform take the side of creators over advertisers... and I don't think they have they have the appetite to take on lawmakers either (who are closely tied to advertisers as well). They've wanted a subscription revenue stream -- while discarding "fringe creators" -- and this scenario accomplishes both.
Meanwhile...
... one of the largest unions in the world is trying to unionize content creators and get YouTube to at the very least make their rules and monetization policies clearer and more transparent (as in any independent contractor relationship) -- something else Google does not want to do. This may be working through the courts as we speak.
And then there's the lack of certifying drivers in businesses like Uber (which was done in traditional taxi services) that is getting the company tossed from more and more cities. Very close relationship to the YouTube fiasco.
YouTube has a tough road ahead.
My only question in this ubiquitous platform is... if YouTube falls apart, where do we go then?

This was probably orchestrated from Google and not from the FTC. IMO Google is using the FTC to "clean house."
If the FTC was acting independently I would agree that the law will be modernized, but since it is IMHO being used as a tool of Google, I don't see this happening anytime soon.
Post edited December 14, 2019 by kai2